Created
July 31, 2022 19:37
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bets by 2050
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BY 2050 | |
- Nigeria will enter into armed conflict with a neighbouring state | |
- Taiwan will be under mainland China’s governance | |
- China will be the global leader in the manufacture of semiconductors | |
- China will be the global leader in the manufacture of biodiesels | |
- Global population will surpass UN estimate of 9.73 billion | |
- Japan fertility rates will still be declining YOY and not stabilize | |
- Japan will still not have significantly opened up immigration, still below 3% of total population | |
- Korean war will still be ongoing | |
- Ukraine east of Kyiv will be under Russian control | |
- A nuclear weapon(any yield) will have been used in an armed conflict | |
- US dollar will be less than 50% of all global currency reserves | |
- US will instigate a foreign war/invasion(specifically with clear intent against a major oil exporter who expresses intent to trade in non-US-dollars) | |
- Total visible minority population of Canada will increase by at least 10% | |
- Moore’s Law will have come to an end(specifically miniaturization of transistors will not surpass 15A) | |
- Level 4 driving automation will not be achieved | |
- “General” artificial intelligence will not have been achieved(hard to measure, but maybe described as nothing that represents an existential threat to humans) | |
- Quantum computing will still be relegated to research |
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